According to polling firm political IQ, surveys from Georgia indicate that Peach State voters want Republicans to control the U.S. Senate and with Joe Biden as president-elect that margin continues to grow.
Per Hot Air:
That should indicate a better turnout among Republican voters. That’s pretty good news, considering the boycott calls from Donald Trump allies and the attacks on Georgia’s voting system from Trump himself. So far, there’s no evidence at all that the Republican electorate has been demoralized.
The RNC already has a superior GOTV ground game, but that might be a bit negated in the circumstances of a special election. Both parties are using an all-hands-on-deck approach to Georgia, so even the resource-poor DNC might have been able to assemble its own effective ground game. Democrats are being outspent on the ground and in the air too, but there is a question of saturation that might end up making the air games equal, too. At some point, Georgia voters will simply tune out the TV and radio ads, figuratively if not literally.
However, there is an important caveat.
Both Democrats are projected to have a double-digit lead among early voters. Ossoff is up 56% to 42% among those who have voted or plan to vote early. Among those same voters, Warnock is up 55% to 42%. Both Republicans, however, enjoy a 61% to 33% lead among those who plan to vote in-person on Election Day.
Election Day turnout will be vital in determining whether Republican Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler return to the Senate. While many variables leave the race up in the air, the GOP appears in a stronger position at this point.