Liberal filmmaker Michael Moore is warning liberals Democrat presidential nominee Joe Biden can’t turn out enough voters to defeat Donald Trump, four years after he predicted Trump would defeat Hillary Clinton.
“Biden does not generate the necessary enthusiasm that it’s going to take to get people out,” Moore tells Vanity Fair magazine. “The Democrats are cynically counting on everyone’s desire to remove Trump.”
“This has been a crazy year, a crazy election year, a crazy year on so many levels,” Moore said. “Anything you would have predicted back in December or January is out the window. The year we thought we were going to have on any level is out the window. So if it’s all out the window, what else is out the window?”
Moore may have a point.
Polls show that while Biden has a large lead over Trump among registered voters, that lead drops sharply when the sample is narrowed down to those who plan to actually vote.
Among those, Biden’s supporters are less enthusiastic than Trump’s, possibly further eroding Biden’s lead.
ABC News reports a recent ABC News/Washington Post poll finds “strong enthusiasm for Biden among his supporters — at just 24% — is the lowest on record for a Democratic presidential candidate in 20 years of ABC/Post polls. More than twice as many of Trump’s supporters are highly enthusiastic about supporting him, 53%.”
Moore was one of only a few liberals who in 2016 predicted Trump would win, even though polls showed Clinton leading. He recognized the large numbers of undecided voters were a warning sign Clinton wasn’t generating enthusiasm, and those voters would largely break for Trump.
Moore supported Bernie Sanders in the 2020 Democrat primary, arguing any loss of support for Sanders’ socialist views would be overcome by the increased turnout among the far left.