The Democratic Party is growing more apprehensive regarding the potential scenario where Senator Joe Manchin, a Democrat representing West Virginia, decides to embark on a third-party presidential campaign in 2024. Such concerns have sparked fears that Manchin’s candidacy could siphon votes away from President Biden, thereby jeopardizing his chances of securing a second term. Furthermore, Democrats are anxious about the implications of Manchin not seeking re-election to the Senate, as it could result in a Republican candidate winning his seat. Governor Jim Justice, who is gaining popularity in the polls, is seen as a favored contender to unseat the moderate Democratic Senator Joe Manchin in deep-red West Virginia, a state that Trump won by a substantial margin.
A number of Democratic senators, namely John Hickenlooper, Jon Tester, and Tim Kaine, have voiced their concerns and advised Manchin against the notion. However, Manchin has made it clear that he is open to various possibilities and has not ruled anything out.
Their argument is centered around the belief that a Manchin presidential campaign would be harmful to the nation and could potentially benefit former President Donald Trump. Nevertheless, Manchin remains undecided and has even pondered whether a centrist alternative could help bring both parties closer to a more moderate position.
At present, Robert F. Kennedy, a Democratic candidate, is garnering approximately 20% support in polls and is gaining momentum as he strives to challenge President Biden for the Democratic nomination. While Kennedy faces significant odds in surpassing Biden, his candidacy underscores the presence of a sizable faction within the Democratic Party that is dissatisfied with President Biden. Polls reveal that less than half of Democrats consider Biden to be the strongest candidate for the party’s nomination.
Although, Kennedy’s chances of success are slim, and his campaign is unlikely to harm Biden in the Presidential race. However, if Joe Manchin decides to run as a “No Label” candidate in 2024, representing a third party that is not aligned with either Republicans or Democrats, it could potentially siphon off votes from Biden and have a negative impact on Biden’s campaign in crucial swing states. Biden’s victories in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania were all relatively narrow. Biden won Arizona by a margin of fewer than 10,000 votes (0.3%), Georgia by approximately 12,000 votes (0.24%), and Pennsylvania by roughly 80,000 votes (1.15%). These states collectively contribute 47 electoral college votes, which Biden will need to secure victory against the presumed candidate and current 2024 GOP front-runner, Donald Trump. Joe Manchin’s candidacy could serve as a key factor in Trump’s potential success, as even a small number of votes in these swing states could potentially tilt the results in Trump’s favor. It is worth noting that the absence of widespread mail-in voting, which played a significant role in Biden’s campaign and garnered record-breaking voter turnout, may change the dynamics of the election and potentially favor Trump. This is particularly notable given the lack of large-scale rallies during Biden’s campaign, despite his ability to secure an unprecedented number of votes.
The uncertainty surrounding Manchin’s potential candidacy continues to generate speculation and unease among Democrats as the 2024 presidential race draws near.
Victory Hooray awesome
The left always destroys itself….too far off the insanity cliff….