Recent polling has some good news for Hillary Clinton, as The Washington Post reports:
If we compare where Clinton is now in the Real Clear Politics polling average, the 2016 picture and the 2008 picture aren’t really all that similar. Nationally, she was doing much better in 2008 than she is right now, perhaps in part because the anti-Clinton vote in 2008 was still split between two people — Barack Obama and John Edwards — instead of just one.
But that’s where the good news ends, as The Washington Post reports:
But that recent trend line, a function of two new national polls that were close after a bit of a lull, is not very good news.
In Iowa, Clinton is running a bit better than she did in 2008 — though, again, she’s dipped significantly recently. It wasn’t until the last week in 2008 that she fell out of the lead. She eventually came in third.
She’s doing far worse in New Hampshire than she did in 2008, thanks to New Hampshire being very much the home turf (and home demographics) of her main opponent. In 2008, her lead in New Hampshire evaporated after her Iowa finish, but she then managed to win anyway.
Hillary is still the overwhelming favorite to win the Democrat nomination, but it appears she may have to spend nearly everything she has to clinch it, leaving her limping into the November matchup against the Republican nominee.