Up to this point, the polls have been fairly steady, with Donald Trump and Ben Carson leading the field by double digits. In the last week, Carson passed Trump in Iowa, due in part to his incredible favorability rating of 84 percent. Some have suggested that Marco Rubio is the frontrunner. But in one respect, current national frontrunner Donald Trump has them beat:
Republican voters view Donald Trump as their strongest general election candidate, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that highlights the sharp contrast between the party’s voters and its top professionals regarding the billionaire businessman’s ultimate political strength.
7 in 10 Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters say Trump could win in November 2016 if he is nominated, and that’s the most who say so of any candidate. By comparison, 6 in 10 say the same for retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who, like Trump, has tapped into the powerful wave of antiestablishment anger defining the early phases of the 2016 contest.
Trump has the grassroots gravitas that Rubio lacks and the energy and confidence that Carson seems to lack. Whether or not he has the organization to maintain his lead is one thing, but the media perception of his campaign has been off from jumpstreet, and tit’s hard not to see that trend continuing.