We continue to see a separation within the Republican presidential field while former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton secures the dominant position on the Democratic side. Several surveys were reported this week. The national Quinnipiac University poll (11/23-30; 1,453 registered voters; 573 Democratic primary and caucus voters; 672 Republican primary and caucus voters) continues to find Donald Trump, Sens. Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Marco Rubio (R-FL), and Dr. Ben Carson pulling away from the rest of the field. The pattern featuring these four as clear leaders has become evident for the past few weeks. This current data finds Trump first with 27%, Rubio in second at 17%, and Cruz and Carson tied for third scoring 16% apiece. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush trials badly at 5%. For the Democrats, Ms. Clinton has a 2:1 lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I/D-VT), 60-30% with former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley remaining in single digits.
The Reuters rolling poll (continuing surveying of 2,000 national respondents) finds Trump with a larger lead at 34%, Dr. Carson in second at 16%, Sen. Cruz following with 14%, Sen. Rubio scoring 11%, and Mr. Bush with just 7 percent. They too find the “Front Four” pulling away from the remaining ten candidates.
Public Policy Polling released New Hampshire data (11/30-12/4; 458 Democratic primary voters; 454 Republican primary voters) in anticipation of the state’s first-in-the-nation primary scheduled for February 9th. Here, the Republican results find Mr. Trump again in first position, this time pulling 27%, followed by Sen. Cruz with 13%, Sen. Rubio at 11%, and an appearance from New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie in double digits notching 10%. Dr. Ben Carson dropped to 9% in this poll. For Democrats, Sen. Sanders continues to show that New Hampshire is his most competitive state. According to the PPP results, Ms. Clinton has a 44-42-8% edge over Sanders and O’Malley.