For months, Donald Trump has been the unquestioned presidential frontrunner. Establishment favorites like Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush have failed to gain any traction, trailing the Donald by double digits, while popular governors Scott Walker and Rick Perry simply dropped out completely. The longer this has gone on, the more a sense that Trump was inevitable has set in. But that may be changing. There may be a new Republican frontrunner:
Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson has moved into a dominant position in Iowa, surpassing former front-runner Donald Trump as evangelical Christians begin to coalesce around him in the state that will cast the first 2016 nomination ballots.
A new Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows the retired neurosurgeon is backed by 28 percent of likely Republican caucus participants, up 10 percentage points since late August. Trump is supported by 19 percent, down 4 points.
Those planning to caucus for Carson are drawn to his personal story and his status as a non-career politician, the poll shows, and they view him as someone who approaches issues with common sense and with guidance from his faith in God.
This is interesting. The only other candidate to score in double digits is Ted Cruz. Both Cruz and Carson are vocal, personally religious social conservatives. Many suspected that Trump’s lack of personal religiosity would hurt him. That prediction may be coming true now.