Josh Hawley is running for the Senate seat in Missouri against incumbent Claire McCaskill, coming off a brutal primary he survived with a Trump endorsement. Hawley is running on an unabashedly pro-Trump agenda. Claire McCaskill has a history of scandal and is no stranger to strategic blunders, but – thanks to the power of incumbency – she’s in a dead heat with Hawley at the moment. Many are speculating she has a better chance of winning because of the libertarian candidate that may split the center-right vote.

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