Jim Ellis analyzes the Governor’s races:
Louisiana: Election Day is Saturday, and state Rep. John Bel Edwards (D) appears in prime position to score an upset victory over Sen. David Vitter (R) who is attempting to change offices. The last run-off poll was released on Thursday, and Market Research Insight (11/16-18; 900 LA likely voters) finds Edwards topping Vitter, 52-40%. Should he lose, Vitter will continue in his position as a US Senator, but it may be unlikely, and unwise, that he seek re-election in 2016.
North Dakota: After forming a gubernatorial exploratory committee, state Sen. Tom Campbell (R) has decided not to pursue the open seat race. This continues to leave Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem as the party’s leading prospective candidate to replace outgoing Gov. Jack Dalrymple (R). The eventual Republican nominee will be viewed as the general election favorite.
Vermont: Democratic House Speaker Shap Smith, at least for the short-term, ended his open seat gubernatorial campaign. Not completely closing the door on his effort, Mr. Smith says it is unlikely that he will return to the campaign. He is leaving the race to care for his ailing wife who is stricken with breast cancer. Sans Smith, the leading Democratic candidates are former Secretary of Transportation Sue Minter and ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne. Democratic Gov. Peter Shumlin is retiring.
AAN Staff
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