he same poll also sampled Republican and Democratic voters about their presidential choices.  The GOP sample surveyed 386 likely primary voters and found Donald Trump, like Rep. Jolly in the Senate race, commanding a whopping lead.  But, this too is inconsistent with other Florida polls.  Though Trump has been projected as the race leader in virtually every contemporary survey, none finds him with such an overwhelming lead like Florida Atlantic.

According to the data, Trump is actually close to 50% for the Winner-Take-All primary, the largest (99 delegates) in this delegate apportionment category.  He scores 48% preference among the poll respondents, with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) way back in second place at just 16 percent.  Florida Sen. Marco Rubio drops to 11% in this survey despite a favorability rating of 63:27% among Republican voters.  Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush scores only 9.5% while falling to fourth place.

Like in the Senate race, the disparity between first place and the rest of the field is not consistent with other available data.  Thus, it is probable that this FAU survey is an anomaly.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton outpaces Sen. Bernie Sanders 62-26% among the 383 primary voters queried.  The polling analysis makes the point that the former Secretary of State’s lead over the Vermont lawmaker has tightened from the previous poll.  Then, Ms. Clinton held a 65-22% advantage.  Though Sanders is slightly gaining, the difference is not statistically significant and the former First Lady remains in solid position here despite her weakening status in Iowa and New Hampshire.



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