Lorie Shaull from Washington, United States via Wikimedia Commons

American Action News had the pleasure to speak with Paul Westcott, the senior vice president at L2, one of America’s leading voter and consumer data firms, about what the polls and pundits got wrong this election:

Paul and his colleagues noticed data trends in voter registration that pollsters evidently missed. He explained how movement this year aligned with what we witnessed in 2016 when similar spreads either incorrectly predicted Secretary Clinton winning the presidency or being ahead substantially in must-win states.

Republican turnout, in particular, didn’t match what the pundit class expected this cycle. Only after reports emerged of higher-than-expected GOP turnout in places like Miami-Dade County did many Democrats start feeling uneasy. By then it was too late to flip Florida.

Getting to the crux of what political prognosticators did wrong, Paul noted, “When you’re looking at creating a sample for a poll, one of the big things is how are you going to weigh it? How are you going to determine who’s a likely voter in that election?” It’s a critical lesson for pollsters desperately seeking relevance after subpar performances in two consecutive elections.

The “shy Trump voter,” reluctant to share their opinion for fear of being judged but eager to vote for the president yet again showed up in droves, having electoral implications far beyond Florida.

The Republican Party cemented its majorities in crucial state legislatures, giving the GOP an edge in the redistricting process. Republican candidates flipped seats in the House from New York to California. Prognosticators like Charlie Cook had predicted a 15-20 seat gain for Democrats. Instead of another blue wave, Republicans may acquire 15 new districts when the dust settles. The GOP seems likely to retain its Senate majority as well.

These results don’t include the presidential election. However, a judge ruled earlier this week that Pennsylvania’s Democrat secretary of state lacked the authority to extend the deadline for voters to provide missing information to validate improperly submitted mail-in ballots.


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Stephen Russell
Stephen Russell
2 months ago

Narrow focus, only 1 party type, Not nationwide, & same results GIGO

DONNA MARIE KELLEY
DONNA MARIE KELLEY
2 months ago

God has had his hand on Trump’s shoulder helping him get through all the misery the democrats have unloaded on him. but as the bible says it is all going to boomarang back on the democrats. God picked Trump for this job because he knew Trump was the only one who would serve the people and country.

AD Roberts
AD Roberts
2 months ago

Just plain wrong. That is because YOU don’t serve God. And I can prove it. Do you obey and live in John 14;12? I am sure the answer is NO.
God did not pick Trump. He did allow Trump to win. And for that you should be grateful. IF God had picked a man, he would have been a man who served God and did not alienate so many people. He would have been a man whose heart was focused on serving God. As it is, Trump’s heart is on protecting America. THAT is not the same.

Jerri
Jerri
2 months ago
Reply to  AD Roberts

Boy you better actually do research on how evil the Dems are and that Trump has done nothing so vile as the left. So I would say you are in denial if you don’t think that the Dems are the one that alienate and create mayhem and have been doing it since Trump announced he’d be running. But with the Dems ignorance is bliss….

Bumperkm
Bumperkm
2 months ago
Reply to  AD Roberts

Donna did not say that Trump was Jesus or a Priest or Minister. she said he was hand picked by God. No One is perfect even you.

Lt. Rob Polans Spec. & Intel Ret.
Lt. Rob Polans Spec. & Intel Ret.
2 months ago

Donna, you are right, President Trump hasn’t alienated anyone. Those who expected a stick in the mud, behind the times type are out of touch with today’s America. His America First policy should be enough to tell anyone that. Thank you PATRIOT III%

Rob Czeranko
Rob Czeranko
2 months ago

It was done on purpose to suppress votes for President Trump. Most pollsters are not objective.

Papa Bear
Papa Bear
2 months ago
Reply to  Rob Czeranko

I don’t think so. I believe it (The polling) was done so that people would not look real close at the voting cheating results. Thank god that didn’t work out for them!!

Lt. Rob Polans Spec. & Intel Ret.
Lt. Rob Polans Spec. & Intel Ret.
2 months ago
Reply to  Papa Bear

I never watch polls, they are never accurate. Questions like “What cut of steak would a Vegan like” is why. At about 12:30 eastern time all the counting stopped and Trump was far ahead (no surprise there). Then they start up again, Biden suddenly moves ahead as if he bought some magic beans that was when I saw the fraud.

scot_belle
scot_belle
2 months ago

PRECISELY!! Fraud is the only way Biden could possibly win.

Grumpy
Grumpy
2 months ago

Joe and the HO did buy something,,,,, A BIG pile of fraudulent ballots to be used in case of loss!!!!!!!