Despite speculation the recent leak of a draft U.S. Supreme Court decision overturning a landmark abortion would politically help Democrats, and speculation it was leaked to boost Democrat turnout in November’s elections for U.S. Congress, a new CNN poll finds.
In the last CNN poll conducted before the leak, Republicans held a one percent lead over Democrats, 45 percent to 44 percent on the question of which party voters nationwide planned to support in their congressional district.
The latest poll, conducted May 3-5 after the leak, found the lead has grown to seven percent. Support for the Republican candidate grew to 49 percent while support for the Democrat fell to 42 percent.
The poll finds that while Democrat voters were now seven percent more likely to say they were enthusiastic to vote, voter enthusiasm was also up nine percent among Republicans.
The gap was even greater when measuring opinion on Roe v. Wade, the landmark 1973 decision making abortion a federally-protected right, which would be overturned if the leaked draft is the prevailing side in an abortion case the Court is currently considering.
Among voters who said they would be “sad” if Roe were overturned, 20 percent reported they were “extremely or very enthusiastic” to vote.
But among voters who said they would be “happy” if Roe were overturned, 38 percent reported they were “extremely or very enthusiastic” to vote.
The poll dashes hopes by liberals that the leak would help them overcome plunging support from voters concerned about rising inflation. In the days after the leak the abortion lobby attempted to warn the Court they had “poked a bear” and “awakened a sleeping giant.”
Traditionally, trying to make an election a referendum on abortion has backfired on Democrats.
In 2014 Texas Democrats nominated State Senator Wendy Davis as their nominee for governor.
Davis, who had become a national media celebrity for leading a filibuster of a pro-life bill, raked in millions of dollars from liberals across the country.
Democrats predicted that focusing the election on abortion would improve on their 42% and “turn Texas blue” showing in the previous election for governor, by spark massive support from women rising up to defend “choice.”
Instead, Davis crashed and burned with just 38% against Greg Abbott, their worst showing in a two-way race since then-Governor George W. Bush’s re-election.
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