Friday, August 7, 2020

China-Russia-Iran Military Axis a Growing Threat to U.S.

In its desperate bid to circumvent crushing U.S. sanctions, Iran’s rogue terrorist regime is considering becoming a vassal state of China. In doing so, Iran would receive much-needed cash and investments for its ailing economy – and to support its terror network and security forces.

However, it will come at the cost of its independence – with China gaining major influence over Iran. In return, China will gain a much-desired strategic beachhead in the Persian Gulf.

While initially focused on industry, technology and oil, Iran just announced that the proposed 25-year, $400 billion “China-Iran Strategic Partnership” deal will include significant military aspects. According to the New York Times, the deal “calls for joint training and exercises, joint research and weapons development and intelligence sharing…”

It may also include Russia. While much the deal remains secret, this new development could also see a Chinese naval base in the Gulf and change the entire balance of power in the Middle East.

Iranian sources reportedly told OilPrice.com last week that:

the Supreme Leader [Ali Khamenei] agreed to the extension of the existing deal to include new military elements that were proposed by the same senior figures in the IRGC [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] and the intelligence services that proposed the original deal, and this will involve complete aerial and naval military co-operation between Iran and China, with Russia also taking a key role.”

According to OilPrice.com, “There is a meeting scheduled in the second week of August between the same Iranian group, and their Chinese and Russian counterparts, that will agree the remaining details but, provided that goes as planned, then as of 9 November, Sino-Russian bombers, fighters, and transport planes will have unrestricted access to Iranian air bases.”

To make matters worse, Iran expert, Michael Rubin at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), writes that as part of this deal China may be seeking a more permanent military base in the Persian Gulf. “Within the Iranian parliament, rumors now abound that one of these agreements include the lease of facilities on Kish island,” explains Rubin.

He added Kish is where the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps loaded 50 tons of weaponry on a ship to smuggle to the Palestine Liberation Organization.

As Rubin reminds us, China’s Supreme Leader Xi Jinping may have ambitions to challenge the United States beyond the South China Sea and impose its military influence over yet another strategic chokepoint – the Persian Gulf. China has already established a military base on the Horn of Africa in Djibouti within miles of the U.S. presence, and interfered with U.S. pilots in the region.

Adding a base on Kish Island would add significant capability to future Chinese forces in the region.

The secrecy surrounding the deal has apparently raised concerns within some in the Iranian leadership, though probably not enough to scuttle the deal. Western intelligence services – and Israel – should be closely monitoring these Chinese and Russian moves in Iran.

The U.S. should also be developing contingency plans and responses. This secret new deal could shake the foundations of the regional order.

READ NEXT: Iranian Airline Linked to Revolutionary Guards Spread COVID in Middle East >>

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Paul Crespo
Paul Crespo
Paul Crespo is a defense and national security expert. He served as a Marine Corps officer and as a military attaché with the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) at US embassies worldwide. He holds degrees from Georgetown, London, and Cambridge Universities. Paul is also CEO of SPECTRE Global Risk, a security advisory firm, and a Contributor to American Defense News.

16 COMMENTS

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DickOz
DickOz
24 days ago

I’ve been predicting this alliance for a few years and now data is surfacing to back up my prognostication. Meanwhile, Democrats (aka socialist commies) have focused their platform on global warming. Oh, we risk man-made global warming alright……from ww3 nuclear fission 🙂

Joe Claborn
Joe Claborn
23 days ago
Reply to  DickOz

I, too said a few years back that WWIII would be with the new axis of evil: Russia, China and Iran. My concern is that Europe is so spineless that we may not have any/many allies. I am not sure we could depend on European countries.

Bill
Bill
20 days ago
Reply to  DickOz

The Democratic Socialist Party has been backing China for months. All because of there hatred of Trump. They defended China when Trump stated that the covid-19 was started in China. They attacked Trump on his Administration’s dicision to sanction China. They attacked Trump when he refused China from entering America. There following China’s example to make America a communist Nation. Joe Biden is quoting Mao Zedong, the genocidal former leader of China the other day. The Democratic Socialist Party has proven with there neglect to protect there Cities from the recent riots and destruction by there BLM army that Hillary, the Democratic Party and Soros have put together and financed since Ferguson. They used BLM only to play with the Black Communities heads because they have yet to do anything for them. If they were to use that croud of protesters and monies donated to help the Black Communities that would be a great uplift. If they did that donations would flood in and also probably qualify for federal grants if they registered as a non profit organization.

angelika griffin
23 days ago

I just read that part of the Iranian Natanz Nuke site has been DESTROYED, meaning: “allah” is NOT willing….!!!!! Even “allah” is FED-UP with the ayatollahs……!!!!

MikefromTexas
MikefromTexas
23 days ago

Like I’ve said many times, most of our so called allies are worthless and won’t support us. So that means an all out war with nukes.

Robert Cantrell
Robert Cantrell
23 days ago

we should just apply all the sanctions to china as soon as they sign that deal.

paul st
23 days ago

If the Democrats and Republicans weren’t so busy trying to un-do President Trumps election . They may have made a better choice to try and work with Russia instead of alienating them . Russia or China will attack the US with an EMP and they won’t have to worry about Trump anymore .

Tim Kuehl
Tim Kuehl
23 days ago

I don’t know exactly when it will happen but this unholy alliance will implode in the relatively near future. The leaders of all three of these countries neither trust each other nor even like each other. “The enemy of my enemy is my friend” only goes so far in real life application.

Walkin O'Shea
22 days ago

And with one stroke of the pen we see the end of Iran. Why didn’t we think of just buying them out?

1949
22 days ago
Reply to  Walkin O'Shea

I think Obama did that with the 1hundred and 50 BILLION DOLLARS. WE SHOULD HAVE JUST DESTROYED IRAN AND BEEN DONE WITH THEM.

JIM
20 days ago
Reply to  1949

It looks like Obama got most of that money.

bob
22 days ago

What little freedom those people had they can they can kiss it good bye

Jojodmonkey
Jojodmonkey
20 days ago

It is not a new axis of evil, this axis has been ignored for a very long time, but you are not including Turkey for some reason! Wonder why?

BigD
BigD
20 days ago

It will come to a head if China gains enough control over Iran to say no more religious functions.

Mikey
Mikey
20 days ago

Winston Churchill warned us about the threat from Russia after WWII and said something should be done. Douglas MacArthur warned about the threat from China during the Korean War and said something should be done. Both were ignored. Now the chickens are coming home to roost.

Fr. James Rosselli
Fr. James Rosselli
19 days ago

Mr, Crespo is a talented and accomplished man, but his resume suggests a client-base that favors the anti-Russia, “Let’s make a few bucks by re-starting the cold war’ crowd.
These worthies are deliberately deaf to the offers of alliance made by Mr. Putin, and are in many cases hostile to the Christian revival in Russia.

A “China-Russia axis of evil?” Are you serious? Russian might be trying to convert China, but certainly not joining them in their ambitions. Communism and Christianity don’t mix.
As for Iran, Russia has been helpful to us in helping to restrain them.

Reality has this habit of opposing narrative.

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