Election Day models universally gave Hillary Clinton a high likelihood of winning the presidency.
The HuffPost presidential forecast gave the Democrat a 98.2 percent chance of being elected, declaring, “Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an Electoral College victory.”
State-level polling was even worse.
After 9.8 million computer simulations, HuffPost predicted Hillary Clinton had a 99.4 percent chance of winning Wisconsin, a 99.3 percent chance of winning Pennsylvania, a 99.2 percent chance of winning Michigan, an 87.9 percent chance of winning Florida, and an 83.1 percent chance of winning North Carolina.
Of course, they weren’t the only top pollsters who got it wrong – a post-election polling autopsy report identified where everything went to hell.
- Amid the Left’s visceral hatred of all things Trump, Trump supporters were less inclined to reveal their preference until after the election.
- Undecided voters swung to Trump in the closing days of the election.
- Statewide polling underestimated Trump’s support, especially in the Rust Belt.
Ah, it never gets old reminiscing on what went wrong for Crooked Hillary!