Since their November 8th Midterm election Senate race, the polling data between (R) Herschel Walker and (D) Raphael Warnock have maintained a razor-thin margin. Currently, Real Clear Politics has Walker up an average of 1.4 points. However, heading into their December 6th run-off election, Real Clear Politics is still calling this race a toss up.

The polls Real Clear Politics used to conclude the average:

FOX 5/InsiderAdvantage* 11/6 – 11/6 550 LV 4.2 49 47 Walker +2
WANF-TV/Landmark* 11/4 – 11/7 1214 LV 2.8 47 46 Walker +1
Trafalgar Group (R)* 11/4 – 11/6 1103 LV 2.9 50 47 Walker +3
Data for Progress (D)** 11/2 – 11/6 1474 LV 3.0 49 48 Walker +1
East Carolina U.* 11/2 – 11/5 1077 LV 3.5 49 49 Tie

One area of hope for Walker is the fact that the December 6th run-off election was sparked due to over 80,000 votes for the Libertarian party candidate, Chase Oliver, who received over 2% of the total vote on November 8th. Oliver will not be on the ticket for the run-off election, and Libertarians have a tendency to fall in line closer to Republicans than they do Democrats.

If the Walker campaign can manage to have a good turnout on December 6th, as well as convince a portion of Libertarians to vote Republican for this Senate race, then Walker can escape the run-off election with a win – securing a 50-50 U.S. Senate.



Comments

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